Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Saturday, May 30
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (75-21) host the San Antonio Spurs (73-27) on Saturday, May 30 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 111 – Thunder 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 40-9 at home and the Spurs are 35-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder L1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Thunder, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Thunder 117 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #122pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #56assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #17reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #235pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #29assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #610reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 73-27 | Record | 75-21 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 111.2 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 35-16 road | Home / road record | 40-9 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.