Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (33-7) host the San Antonio Spurs (27-13) on Tuesday, January 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 98 – Thunder 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 19-3 at home and the Spurs are 14-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder W3, Spurs L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 120 – 110 Spurs, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.0 vs +2.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #520pts / gameStephon CastleG · #58assists
Luke KornetC · #78reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #234pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #25assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #610reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-13 | Record | 33-7 |
| 117.0 | Points scored / game | 121.2 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 108.2 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 14-8 road | Home / road record | 19-3 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.