Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Saturday, December 13
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (24-1) host the San Antonio Spurs (17-7) on Saturday, December 13 at 9:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 111 – Thunder 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 87% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 12-0 at home and the Spurs are 8-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 10-0 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder W16, Spurs W2).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 123 – 109 Spurs, a margin of about 14.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+13.6 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (122.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2423pts / game
Harrison BarnesF · #405assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #19reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #229pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #25assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #559reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-7 | Record | 24-1 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 122.6 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 106.6 |
| +1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +13.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | W16 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 10-0 |
| 8-5 road | Home / road record | 12-0 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.