Thunder vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, May 28
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (72-27) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (75-20) on Thursday, May 28 at 8:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 91 – Spurs 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 37-11 at home and the Thunder are 35-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 8-2 for the Thunder (current streaks: Spurs L1, Thunder W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 114 – 115 Thunder, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCSA
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #215pts / game
Jared McCainG · #36assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #711reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #128pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #59assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #110reboundsRecent form
OKCSAHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| OKC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 75-20 | Record | 72-27 |
| 119.1 | Points scored / game | 118.5 |
| 107.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.4 |
| +9.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 35-11 road | Home / road record | 37-11 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.