Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, May 26
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (74-20) host the San Antonio Spurs (72-26) on Tuesday, May 26 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 114 – Thunder 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 39-9 at home and the Spurs are 35-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder L1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Thunder, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Thunder 117 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #524pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #308reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #232pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #29assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5515reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 72-26 | Record | 74-20 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 111.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.7 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 35-15 road | Home / road record | 39-9 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.