Thunder vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, May 24
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (71-26) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (74-19) on Sunday, May 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 82 – Spurs 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 36-11 at home and the Thunder are 35-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Spurs L2, Thunder W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 114 – 115 Thunder, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCSA
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #219pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #133pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #56assists
De'Aaron FoxG · #410reboundsRecent form
OKCSAHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| OKC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 74-19 | Record | 71-26 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 107.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +9.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 35-10 road | Home / road record | 36-11 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.