Thunder vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, May 22
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (71-25) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (73-19) on Friday, May 22 at 8:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 123 – Spurs 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 36-10 at home and the Thunder are 34-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Spurs L1, Thunder W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 114 – 115 Thunder, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCSA
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #226pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #212assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #558reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #126pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #57assists
Devin VassellG · #247reboundsRecent form
OKCSAHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| OKC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 73-19 | Record | 71-25 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 118.8 |
| 107.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.4 |
| +9.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 34-10 road | Home / road record | 36-10 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.