Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, May 20
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (72-19) host the San Antonio Spurs (71-24) on Wednesday, May 20 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 113 – Thunder 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 38-9 at home and the Spurs are 35-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 8-2 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder L1, Spurs W3).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Thunder 117 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #525pts / gameStephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #117reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #29assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5513reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 71-24 | Record | 72-19 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 119.3 |
| 111.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.7 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.9 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 35-14 road | Home / road record | 38-9 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.