Spurs vs Thunder prediction NBA · Monday, May 18
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (72-18) host the San Antonio Spurs (70-24) on Monday, May 18 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 122 – Thunder 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 38-8 at home and the Spurs are 34-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Thunder W8, Spurs W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Thunder, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Thunder 117 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAOKC
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #141pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #511assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #124reboundsThunder
Alex CarusoG · #931pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #212assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #78reboundsRecent form
SAOKCHead-to-head
SA lead 4-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 70-24 | Record | 72-18 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 111.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W8 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 34-14 road | Home / road record | 38-8 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.