Suns vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, April 19
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) host the Phoenix Suns (46-38) on Sunday, April 19 at 3:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 84 – Thunder 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 34-8 at home and the Suns are 20-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Thunder L2, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 118 – 107 Suns, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.7 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXOKC
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1523pts / game
Royce O'NealeF · #003assists
Oso IghodaroF · #119reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #225pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #558reboundsRecent form
PHXOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-2 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-38 | Record | 64-18 |
| 112.7 | Points scored / game | 119.2 |
| 111.7 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 20-21 road | Home / road record | 34-8 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.