Suns vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (64-17) host the Phoenix Suns (44-37) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 135 – Thunder 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 83% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 34-7 at home and the Suns are 19-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Thunder L1, Suns L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 119 – 107 Suns, a margin of about 11.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+10.1 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXOKC
Top performers
Suns
Jamaree BouyeaG · #1727pts / gameJamaree BouyeaG · #179assists
Khaman MaluachC · #1014reboundsThunder
Branden CarlsonC · #1026pts / game
Nikola TopicG · #4414assistsBranden CarlsonC · #1010reboundsRecent form
PHXOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-2 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-37 | Record | 64-17 |
| 112.5 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 111.9 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 19-21 road | Home / road record | 34-7 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.