Suns vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 10
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (23-1) host the Phoenix Suns (14-10) on Wednesday, December 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 89 – Thunder 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 11-0 at home and the Suns are 6-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 10-0 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Thunder W15, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 122 – 107 Suns, a margin of about 14.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+12.8 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (122.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXOKC
Top performers
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #316pts / game
Jamaree BouyeaG · #176assists
Mark WilliamsC · #255reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #228pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #78reboundsRecent form
PHXOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-2 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-10 | Record | 23-1 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 122.2 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.1 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W15 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 10-0 |
| 6-6 road | Home / road record | 11-0 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.