Suns vs Thunder prediction NBA · Friday, November 28
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (18-1) host the Phoenix Suns (12-7) on Friday, November 28 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 119 – Thunder 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 9-0 at home and the Suns are 4-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 10-0 for the Thunder and 8-2 for the Suns (current streaks: Thunder W10, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 121 – 107 Suns, a margin of about 13.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+12.8 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXOKC
Top performers
Suns
Collin GillespieG · #1224pts / game
Devin BookerG · #156assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2514reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #237pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #78reboundsRecent form
PHXOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 3-2 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 18-1 |
| 115.6 | Points scored / game | 121.5 |
| 114.2 | Points allowed / game | 106.4 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W10 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 10-0 |
| 4-4 road | Home / road record | 9-0 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.