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Clippers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Friday, October 17

FinalChase Center · NBC Sports BA, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
3-1 · away
Final score
106-103
Projected: 111-112
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
3-2 · home
46% win LACwin GS 54%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin1.1
Projected total223
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors host the LA Clippers on Friday, October 17 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 106 – Warriors 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 54% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 112 – 111 Clippers, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +2.8 / LAC +4.0 per game
-1.2
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+1.1

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Clippers win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

LACGS
112.9
Points scored / game
113.8
108.2
Points allowed / game
110.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
39.0 %
3-point %
36.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
43.8
25.0
Assists / game
25.6
12.5
Steals / game
9.6
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Clippers
Kobe SandersG · #425pts / game
TyTy Washington Jr.G · #155assists
Yanic Konan NiederhauserC · #1411rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3020pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #616assists
Pat SpencerG · #615rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACGS
3-1Record3-2
112.9Points scored / game113.8
108.2Points allowed / game110.5
+4.0Adjusted margin / game+2.8
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
50-32 (+4.7)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.