Clippers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 28
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (3-1) host the LA Clippers (2-1) on Tuesday, October 28 at 11:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 79 – Warriors 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 2-0 at home and the Clippers are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Warriors and 2-1 for the Clippers (current streaks: Warriors W1, Clippers W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 112 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LACGS
Top performers
Clippers
James HardenG · #120pts / game
Yanic Konan NiederhauserC · #142assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4012reboundsWarriors
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1021pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #308assists
Quinten PostC · #418reboundsRecent form
LACGSHead-to-head
LAC lead 3-1 this season.
LAC
Team comparison
| LAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 109.1 | Points allowed / game | 113.9 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-1 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 50-32 (+4.7) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Clippers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.