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Warriors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalIntuit Dome · NBC Sports BA, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
39% win GSwin LAC 61%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin3.6
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (41-40) host the Golden State Warriors (37-44) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 110 – Clippers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 22-18 at home and the Warriors are 15-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Clippers L2, Warriors L2).

The analysis Model

The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 116 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.3 / GS -0.0 per game
+1.3
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+3.6

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Warriors win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAC
114.6
Points scored / game
113.6
114.6
Points allowed / game
112.1
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
82.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.6
Steals / game
12.5
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3024pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #303assists
Kristaps PorzingisC · #78rebounds
Clippers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2420pts / game
Bennedict MathurinG · #248assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #249rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAC
37-44Record41-40
114.6Points scored / game113.6
114.6Points allowed / game112.1
-0.0Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L2Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games6-4
15-25 roadHome / road record22-18 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.