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Warriors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Monday, January 5

FinalIntuit Dome · Peacock, NBC Sports BA
49% win GSwin LAC 51%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin0.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (12-22) host the Golden State Warriors (19-17) on Monday, January 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 102 – Clippers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 8-9 at home and the Warriors are 8-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 6-4 for the Warriors (current streaks: Clippers L1, Warriors W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 114 – 113 Warriors, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -0.3 / GS +1.5 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+0.5

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAC
114.8
Points scored / game
112.5
113.1
Points allowed / game
112.9
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
82.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.6
Steals / game
12.5
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3027pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2312assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #106rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #224pts / game
Kris DunnG · #86assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAC
19-17Record12-22
114.8Points scored / game112.5
113.1Points allowed / game112.9
+1.5Adjusted margin / game-0.3
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
8-12 roadHome / road record8-9 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.