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Clippers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Monday, March 2

FinalChase Center · Peacock, NBCSN, NBC Sports BA, FanDuel SN SoCal
35% win LACwin GS 65%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin4.9
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (31-29) host the LA Clippers (28-31) on Monday, March 2 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 114 – Warriors 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 19-12 at home and the Clippers are 13-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 5-5 for the Clippers (current streaks: Warriors L1, Clippers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 115 – 110 Clippers, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' offense (115.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.5 / LAC +0.5 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Warriors
+4.9

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Clippers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

LACGS
112.2
Points scored / game
115.3
111.6
Points allowed / game
113.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
39.0 %
3-point %
36.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.6 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
43.8
25.0
Assists / game
25.6
12.5
Steals / game
9.6
4.5
Blocks / game
3.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #223pts / game
Kris DunnG · #87assists
Yanic Konan NiederhauserC · #149rebounds
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #222pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assists
Gui SantosF · #1510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACGS
28-31Record31-29
112.2Points scored / game115.3
111.6Points allowed / game113.5
+0.5Adjusted margin / game+1.5
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
13-18 roadHome / road record19-12 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.