Bucks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, October 16
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers host the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday, October 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 128 – Pacers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 53% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 116 – 115 Bucks, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILIND
Top performers
Bucks
Tyler HerroG · #1125pts / game
Kasparas JakucionisG · #256assists
Myles TurnerC · #313reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4324pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4011reboundsRecent form
MILINDHead-to-head
MIL lead 1-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| MIL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 110.6 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| -5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.8 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 32-50 (-6.2) | Last season | 19-63 (-8.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.