Pacers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Monday, October 26
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (0-3) host the Indiana Pacers (2-1) on Monday, October 26 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 102 – Bucks 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 0-1 at home and the Pacers are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-3 for the Bucks and 2-1 for the Pacers (current streaks: Bucks L3, Pacers W1).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 117 – 114 Pacers, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDMIL
Top performers
Pacers
Tyrese HaliburtonG · #022pts / gameTyrese HaliburtonG · #09assists
Pascal SiakamF · #4313reboundsBucks
Tyler HerroG · #1123pts / gameTyler HerroG · #117assists
Kel'el WareC · #914reboundsRecent form
INDMILHead-to-head
MIL lead 1-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 0-3 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 119.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.3 |
| -4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 2-1 | Last 10 games | 0-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 19-63 (-8.0) | Last season | 32-50 (-6.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.