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Bulls vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 14

FinalFiserv Forum · MyMi, Bucks App
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
2-2 · away
Final score
125-104
Projected: 116-117
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
1-3 · home
45% win CHIwin MIL 55%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin1.5
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday, October 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 125 – Bucks 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 55% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 117 – 116 Bulls, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -5.3 / CHI -4.4 per game
-0.8
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+1.5

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIL
116.3
Points scored / game
110.6
121.5
Points allowed / game
116.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.4
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
5.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1419pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #39assists
Leonard MillerF · #117rebounds
Bucks
Kam JonesG · #1923pts / game
Kasparas JakucionisG · #256assists
Ousmane DiengF · #2111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIMIL
2-2Record1-3
116.3Points scored / game110.6
121.5Points allowed / game116.8
-4.4Adjusted margin / game-5.3
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
31-51 (-5.2)Last season32-50 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.