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Bulls vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, October 23

FinalFiserv Forum · NBA League Pass, MyMi, Bucks App
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
1-1 · away
Final score
132-125
Projected: 115-118
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
0-2 · home
39% win CHIwin MIL 61%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin3.5
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (0-1) host the Chicago Bulls (0-1) on Friday, October 23 at 4:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 132 – Bucks 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Bucks and 0-1 for the Bulls (current streaks: Bucks L1, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 118 – 115 Bulls, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (114.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -5.7 / CHI -6.9 per game
+1.2
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+3.5

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bulls win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIMIL
114.4
Points scored / game
111.0
122.5
Points allowed / game
117.7
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.4
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
5.8
4.8
Blocks / game
4.0
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Bulls
Norman PowellG · #2425pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #39assists
Jalen SmithF · #2513rebounds
Bucks
Tyler HerroG · #1134pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #136assists
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIMIL
0-1Record0-1
114.4Points scored / game111.0
122.5Points allowed / game117.7
-6.9Adjusted margin / game-5.7
L1Current streakL1
0-1Last 10 games0-1
0-1 roadHome / road record0-0 home
31-51 (-5.2)Last season32-50 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.