Lakers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Thursday, May 7
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (69-18) host the Los Angeles Lakers (57-32) on Thursday, May 7 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 107 – Thunder 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 37-8 at home and the Lakers are 27-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Thunder W5, Lakers L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 119 – 108 Lakers, a margin of about 10.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.9 vs +1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALOKC
Top performers
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1531pts / gameAustin ReavesG · #156assists
Deandre AytonC · #810reboundsThunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #722pts / game
Ajay MitchellG · #256assistsChet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsRecent form
LALOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-32 | Record | 69-18 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 119.2 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 27-18 road | Home / road record | 37-8 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.