Lakers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (11-1) host the Los Angeles Lakers (8-3) on Wednesday, November 12 at 9:47 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 92 – Thunder 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 5-0 at home and the Lakers are 5-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 8-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Thunder W3, Lakers W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 120 – 109 Lakers, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+11.6 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALOKC
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7719pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #777assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #29reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #29assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #558reboundsRecent form
LALOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | Record | 11-1 |
| 115.6 | Points scored / game | 121.6 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 5-0 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.