Thunder vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 7
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (50-28) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (62-16) on Tuesday, April 7 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 123 – Lakers 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 26-12 at home and the Thunder are 28-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Lakers L2, Thunder W5).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 111 – 118 Thunder, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.2 vs +10.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCLAL
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #225pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #710reboundsLakers
Rui HachimuraF · #2815pts / game
Luke KennardG · #89assists
Jake LaRaviaF · #127reboundsRecent form
OKCLALHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| OKC | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 62-16 | Record | 50-28 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 107.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| +10.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 28-9 road | Home / road record | 26-12 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.