Lakers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Thursday, April 2
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (60-16) host the Los Angeles Lakers (50-26) on Thursday, April 2 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 96 – Thunder 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 32-7 at home and the Lakers are 24-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 9-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Thunder W3, Lakers W4).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 119 – 109 Lakers, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.5 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALOKC
Top performers
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1515pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #777assists
Jake LaRaviaF · #128reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #228pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #88assistsJalen WilliamsG · #89reboundsRecent form
LALOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-26 | Record | 60-16 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 118.9 |
| 114.4 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.5 |
| W4 | Current streak | W3 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 24-14 road | Home / road record | 32-7 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.