Thunder vs Lakers prediction NBA · Monday, February 9
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (32-19) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (40-13) on Monday, February 9 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 119 – Lakers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 14-8 at home and the Thunder are 18-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Thunder (current streaks: Lakers W3, Thunder L2).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 111 – 118 Thunder, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +10.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (120.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCLAL
Top performers
Thunder
Jalen WilliamsG · #823pts / game
Cason WallaceG · #226assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #710reboundsLakers
LeBron JamesF · #2322pts / gameLeBron JamesF · #2310assists
Deandre AytonC · #810reboundsRecent form
OKCLALHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| OKC | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-13 | Record | 32-19 |
| 120.0 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 107.9 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| +10.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 18-7 road | Home / road record | 14-8 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.