Lakers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, May 5
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (68-18) host the Los Angeles Lakers (57-31) on Tuesday, May 5 at 8:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 90 – Thunder 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 36-8 at home and the Lakers are 27-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Thunder W4, Lakers W1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 119 – 109 Lakers, a margin of about 10.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+9.9 vs +1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALOKC
Top performers
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2327pts / game
Marcus SmartG · #367assists
Deandre AytonC · #812reboundsThunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #724pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assistsChet HolmgrenC · #712reboundsRecent form
LALOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-31 | Record | 68-18 |
| 115.1 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| +1.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 27-17 road | Home / road record | 36-8 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.