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76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Saturday, May 2

FinalTD Garden · NBC, Peacock
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
45-37 · away
Final score
109-100
Projected: 108-118
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
56-26 · home
22% win PHIwin BOS 78%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.7
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (59-29) host the Philadelphia 76ers (49-40) on Saturday, May 2 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 109 – Celtics 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 31-13 at home and the 76ers are 24-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Celtics L2, 76ers W2).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 118 – 108 76ers, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.5 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.5 / PHI -0.9 per game
+7.4
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+9.7

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
49%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
76ers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBOS
114.3
Points scored / game
114.6
115.3
Points allowed / game
106.9
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
27.8
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2134pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #07assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2112rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #117assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 22PHI117 - 116BOSOct 31BOS109 - 108PHINov 11BOS100 - 102PHIMar 1PHI98 - 114BOS

Team comparison

PHIBOS
49-40Record59-29
114.3Points scored / game114.6
115.3Points allowed / game106.9
-0.9Adjusted margin / game+6.5
W2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games6-4
24-20 roadHome / road record31-13 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.