Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Celtics vs 76ers prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · Prime Video
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
3-3 · away
Final score
109-108
Projected: 118-110
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
4-1 · home
73% win BOSwin PHI 27%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin7.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (4-0) host the Boston Celtics (2-3) on Friday, October 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 109 – 76ers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 2-0 at home and the Celtics are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-0 for the 76ers and 2-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: 76ers W4, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects 76ers 110 – 118 Celtics, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.8 vs +7.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -2.8 / BOS +7.2 per game
-10.0
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-7.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
8%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Celtics win by 10+
43%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSPHI
115.7
Points scored / game
114.5
107.2
Points allowed / game
117.8
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
38.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.8
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
9.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #76assists
Josh MinottF · #008rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #026pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #014assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #109rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSPHI
2-3Record4-0
115.7Points scored / game114.5
107.2Points allowed / game117.8
+7.2Adjusted margin / game-2.8
W2Current streakW4
2-3Last 10 games4-0
1-2 roadHome / road record2-0 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.