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76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22

FinalTD Garden · NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
1-0 · away
Final score
117-116
Projected: 105-120
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
0-1 · home
11% win PHIwin BOS 89%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin15.3
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics host the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday, October 22 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 117 – Celtics 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 89% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 120 – 105 76ers, a margin of about 15.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+7.7 vs -5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (116.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +7.7 / PHI -5.3 per game
+13.0
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+15.3

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
67%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
15%
76ers win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBOS
109.6
Points scored / game
116.3
115.8
Points allowed / game
107.2
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
27.8
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #040pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
Dominick BarlowF · #258rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #725pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #74assists
Neemias QuetaC · #888rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 22PHI117 - 116BOSOct 31BOS109 - 108PHINov 11BOS100 - 102PHIMar 1PHI98 - 114BOS

Team comparison

PHIBOS
1-0Record0-1
109.6Points scored / game116.3
115.8Points allowed / game107.2
-5.3Adjusted margin / game+7.7
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
24-58 (-6.2)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.