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Celtics vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC, Peacock, NBC Sports BO
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
5-7 · away
Final score
100-102
Projected: 116-112
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
7-4 · home
63% win BOSwin PHI 37%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin4.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (6-4) host the Boston Celtics (5-6) on Tuesday, November 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 100 – 76ers 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 3-2 at home and the Celtics are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 5-5 for the Celtics (current streaks: 76ers L1, Celtics W1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 112 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.4 vs +5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.4 / BOS +5.0 per game
-6.4
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-4.1

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSPHI
114.6
Points scored / game
115.4
108.7
Points allowed / game
117.0
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
38.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.8
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
9.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #724pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #97assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8810rebounds
76ers
Justin EdwardsF · #1122pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Andre DrummondC · #013rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSPHI
5-6Record6-4
114.6Points scored / game115.4
108.7Points allowed / game117.0
+5.0Adjusted margin / game-1.4
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
3-3 roadHome / road record3-2 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.