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76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalTD Garden · NBC, Peacock, NBC Sports Phil
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
33-27 · away
Final score
98-114
Projected: 109-118
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
40-20 · home
23% win PHIwin BOS 77%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.2
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (39-20) host the Philadelphia 76ers (33-26) on Sunday, March 1 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 98 – Celtics 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 19-9 at home and the 76ers are 17-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Celtics W1, 76ers W3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 118 – 109 76ers, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.6 vs -0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.6 / PHI -0.4 per game
+6.9
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+9.2

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
76ers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBOS
115.5
Points scored / game
115.2
115.9
Points allowed / game
107.5
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
27.8
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #033pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
Andre DrummondC · #012rebounds
Celtics
Neemias QuetaC · #8827pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #78assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8817rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 22PHI117 - 116BOSOct 31BOS109 - 108PHINov 11BOS100 - 102PHIMar 1PHI98 - 114BOS

Team comparison

PHIBOS
33-26Record39-20
115.5Points scored / game115.2
115.9Points allowed / game107.5
-0.4Adjusted margin / game+6.6
W3Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games8-2
17-11 roadHome / road record19-9 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.