Celtics vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, April 30
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (48-40) host the Boston Celtics (59-28) on Thursday, April 30 at 8:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 93 – 76ers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 24-20 at home and the Celtics are 28-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: 76ers W1, Celtics L1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 110 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.0 vs +6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSPHI
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #718pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #115assists
Jayson TatumF · #011rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #030pts / game
Joel EmbiidC · #218assistsJoel EmbiidC · #2110reboundsRecent form
BOSPHIHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
PHI
Team comparison
| BOS | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 59-28 | Record | 48-40 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 114.4 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 115.6 |
| +6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 28-15 road | Home / road record | 24-20 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.