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Celtics vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 26

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC, Peacock
66% win BOSwin PHI 34%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin5.3
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (47-39) host the Boston Celtics (58-27) on Sunday, April 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 128 – 76ers 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 24-19 at home and the Celtics are 27-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: 76ers L1, Celtics W1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 110 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs +6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.9 / BOS +6.7 per game
-7.6
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-5.3

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Celtics win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSPHI
114.9
Points scored / game
114.6
107.0
Points allowed / game
115.6
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
38.6 %
3-point %
32.6 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.8
Assists / game
24.6
9.0
Steals / game
9.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1132pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #011assists
Neemias QuetaC · #888rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2126pts / game
Joel EmbiidC · #216assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSPHI
58-27Record47-39
114.9Points scored / game114.6
107.0Points allowed / game115.6
+6.7Adjusted margin / game-0.9
W1Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games5-5
27-15 roadHome / road record24-19 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.