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76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 21

FinalTD Garden · Peacock, NBCSN
21% win PHIwin BOS 79%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin10.2
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (57-26) host the Philadelphia 76ers (46-38) on Tuesday, April 21 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 111 – Celtics 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 79% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 31-11 at home and the 76ers are 22-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Celtics W3, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 118 – 108 76ers, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.9 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.9 / PHI -1.0 per game
+7.9
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+10.2

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
51%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
76ers win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBOS
114.8
Points scored / game
115.1
115.9
Points allowed / game
107.0
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
27.8
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7730pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
VJ EdgecombeG · #7710rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #736pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #09assists
Jayson TatumF · #014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIBOS
46-38Record57-26
114.8Points scored / game115.1
115.9Points allowed / game107.0
-1.0Adjusted margin / game+6.9
L1Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games8-2
22-20 roadHome / road record31-11 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.