76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 21
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (57-26) host the Philadelphia 76ers (46-38) on Tuesday, April 21 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 111 – Celtics 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 79% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 31-11 at home and the 76ers are 22-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Celtics W3, 76ers L1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 118 – 108 76ers, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.9 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIBOS
Top performers
76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7730pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
VJ EdgecombeG · #7710rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #736pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #09assists
Jayson TatumF · #014reboundsRecent form
PHI
BOSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
Team comparison
| PHI | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-38 | Record | 57-26 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 22-20 road | Home / road record | 31-11 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
PHI