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76ers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Sunday, April 19

FinalTD Garden · ABC
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
45-37 · away
Final score
91-123
Projected: 108-118
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
56-26 · home
22% win PHIwin BOS 78%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (56-26) host the Philadelphia 76ers (46-37) on Sunday, April 19 at 1:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 91 – Celtics 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 30-11 at home and the 76ers are 22-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Celtics W2, 76ers W3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 118 – 108 76ers, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.7 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.7 / PHI -0.7 per game
+7.4
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+9.7

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
49%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
76ers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIBOS
115.0
Points scored / game
115.0
115.8
Points allowed / game
107.2
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
77.5 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
27.8
9.8
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #021pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #107rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #726pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #07assists
Jayson TatumF · #011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Oct 22PHI117 - 116BOSOct 31BOS109 - 108PHINov 11BOS100 - 102PHIMar 1PHI98 - 114BOS

Team comparison

PHIBOS
46-37Record56-26
115.0Points scored / game115.0
115.8Points allowed / game107.2
-0.7Adjusted margin / game+6.7
W3Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games8-2
22-19 roadHome / road record30-11 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.