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Warriors vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, April 17

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Prime Video
40% win GSwin PHX 60%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin3.0
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (45-38) host the Golden State Warriors (38-45) on Friday, April 17 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 96 – Suns 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 25-17 at home and the Warriors are 16-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 3-7 for the Warriors (current streaks: Suns L1, Warriors W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 115 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.7 / GS -0.0 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+3.0

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Warriors win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

GSPHX
114.6
Points scored / game
112.7
114.6
Points allowed / game
111.8
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
36.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
82.2 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
39.7
25.6
Assists / game
25.3
9.6
Steals / game
8.7
3.8
Blocks / game
5.3
16.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #223pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #210rebounds
Suns
Jalen GreenG · #436pts / game
Devin BookerG · #158assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSPHX
38-45Record45-38
114.6Points scored / game112.7
114.6Points allowed / game111.8
-0.0Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W1Current streakL1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
16-26 roadHome / road record25-17 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.