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Suns vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalChase Center · NBC Sports BA, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
36% win PHXwin GS 64%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin4.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (13-15) host the Phoenix Suns (15-12) on Saturday, December 20 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 116 – Warriors 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 7-4 at home and the Suns are 6-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 4-6 for the Suns (current streaks: Warriors L3, Suns W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 116 – 111 Suns, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.5 / PHX -0.6 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Warriors
+4.4

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Suns win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXGS
114.0
Points scored / game
113.8
114.7
Points allowed / game
112.0
45.6 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
31.9 %
3-point %
36.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
73.9 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
43.8
25.3
Assists / game
25.6
8.7
Steals / game
9.6
5.3
Blocks / game
3.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1538pts / game
Devin BookerG · #155assists
Oso IghodaroF · #117rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #306assists
Stephen CurryG · #3010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXGS
15-12Record13-15
114.0Points scored / game113.8
114.7Points allowed / game112.0
-0.6Adjusted margin / game+1.5
W1Current streakL3
4-6Last 10 games4-6
6-7 roadHome / road record7-4 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.