Suns vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 4
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (4-3) host the Phoenix Suns (3-4) on Tuesday, November 4 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 107 – Warriors 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 3-0 at home and the Suns are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-3 for the Warriors and 3-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Warriors L2, Suns W2).
The analysis Model
The Warriors are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 119 – 112 Suns, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs -2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXGS
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1538pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #85assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2516reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3028pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assists
Quinten PostC · #417reboundsRecent form
PHXGSHead-to-head
GS lead 3-1 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 4-3 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 115.2 |
| 118.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-4 | Last 10 games | 4-3 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.