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Hornets vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, April 17

FinalKia Center · Prime Video
50% win CHAwin ORL 50%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (45-38) host the Charlotte Hornets (45-38) on Friday, April 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 90 – Magic 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 26-16 at home and the Hornets are 23-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Hornets (current streaks: Magic L2, Hornets W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 115 – 114 Hornets, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.3 / CHA +2.6 per game
-2.2
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+0.1

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAORL
114.7
Points scored / game
114.2
111.7
Points allowed / game
113.8
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
41.3
20.6
Assists / game
26.0
6.8
Steals / game
7.8
5.2
Blocks / game
4.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #123pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #15assists
Moussa DiabateF · #148rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #525pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #56assists
Franz WagnerF · #227rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAORL
45-38Record45-38
114.7Points scored / game114.2
111.7Points allowed / game113.8
+2.6Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games6-4
23-18 roadHome / road record26-16 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.