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Hornets vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, January 22

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
31% win CHAwin ORL 69%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin6.3
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (23-19) host the Charlotte Hornets (16-28) on Thursday, January 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 124 – Magic 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 14-7 at home and the Hornets are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 5-5 for the Hornets (current streaks: Magic L1, Hornets L1).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 116 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.6 / CHA -1.8 per game
+2.4
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHornets played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+6.3

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Hornets win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAORL
113.5
Points scored / game
113.7
115.5
Points allowed / game
113.0
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
41.3
20.6
Assists / game
26.0
6.8
Steals / game
7.8
5.2
Blocks / game
4.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2420pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #17assists
Kon KnueppelG · #710rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #523pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #55assists
Paolo BancheroF · #57rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAORL
16-28Record23-19
113.5Points scored / game113.7
115.5Points allowed / game113.0
-1.8Adjusted margin / game+0.6
L1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
9-15 roadHome / road record14-7 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.