Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Magic vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19

FinalSpectrum Center · NBA TV, FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN SE
41% win ORLwin CHA 59%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin2.8
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (35-34) host the Orlando Magic (38-30) on Thursday, March 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 111 – Hornets 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 15-17 at home and the Magic are 16-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Magic (current streaks: Hornets W1, Magic L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 115 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +1.4 / ORL +0.9 per game
+0.5
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+2.8

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Magic win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCHA
114.0
Points scored / game
114.2
112.9
Points allowed / game
112.5
44.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
31.4 %
3-point %
30.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
75.0 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.0
Assists / game
20.6
7.8
Steals / game
6.8
4.5
Blocks / game
5.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #324pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Desmond BaneG · #37rebounds
Hornets
Coby WhiteG · #327pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #248assists
LaMelo BallG · #16rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCHA
38-30Record35-34
114.0Points scored / game114.2
112.9Points allowed / game112.5
+0.9Adjusted margin / game+1.4
L2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
16-17 roadHome / road record15-17 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.