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Magic vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, October 30

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
2-4 · away
Final score
123-107
Projected: 110-111
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
2-3 · home
47% win ORLwin CHA 53%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin1.1
Projected total222
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (2-2) host the Orlando Magic (1-4) on Thursday, October 30 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 123 – Hornets 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 1-0 at home and the Magic are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-2 for the Hornets and 1-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Hornets L1, Magic L4).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 111 – 110 Magic, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -5.1 / ORL -2.2 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Hornets
+1.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCHA
107.9
Points scored / game
110.9
110.6
Points allowed / game
116.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
31.4 %
3-point %
30.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
75.0 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.0
Assists / game
20.6
7.8
Steals / game
6.8
4.5
Blocks / game
5.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2221pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #59assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds
Hornets
Collin SextonG · #1019pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #113assists
LaMelo BallG · #17rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCHA
1-4Record2-2
107.9Points scored / game110.9
110.6Points allowed / game116.8
-2.2Adjusted margin / game-5.1
L4Current streakL1
1-4Last 10 games2-2
0-2 roadHome / road record1-0 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.