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Hornets vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, December 26

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
26% win CHAwin ORL 74%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin8.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (17-13) host the Charlotte Hornets (10-20) on Friday, December 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 120 – Magic 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 74% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 10-5 at home and the Hornets are 3-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Hornets (current streaks: Magic W1, Hornets W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Magic dominate this matchup. The model projects Magic 118 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.4 vs -4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +1.4 / CHA -4.3 per game
+5.7
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+8.0

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Hornets win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAORL
112.5
Points scored / game
113.8
117.5
Points allowed / game
112.2
41.7 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
85.2 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
41.3
20.6
Assists / game
26.0
6.8
Steals / game
7.8
5.2
Blocks / game
4.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #122pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #15assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1412rebounds
Magic
Anthony BlackG · #024pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #04assists
Desmond BaneG · #310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAORL
10-20Record17-13
112.5Points scored / game113.8
117.5Points allowed / game112.2
-4.3Adjusted margin / game+1.4
W1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
3-12 roadHome / road record10-5 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.