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Warriors vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 15

FinalIntuit Dome · Prime Video
38% win GSwin LAC 62%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin3.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (42-40) host the Golden State Warriors (37-45) on Wednesday, April 15 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 126 – Clippers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 23-18 at home and the Warriors are 15-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 3-7 for the Warriors (current streaks: Clippers W1, Warriors L3).

The analysis Model

The Clippers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 116 – 112 Warriors, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.3 / GS -0.1 per game
+1.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+3.7

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Warriors win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

GSLAC
114.5
Points scored / game
113.7
114.6
Points allowed / game
112.1
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
82.2 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.6
Steals / game
12.5
3.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3035pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #239assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #27rebounds
Clippers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2423pts / game
Kris DunnG · #810assists
John CollinsF · #209rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSLAC
37-45Record42-40
114.5Points scored / game113.7
114.6Points allowed / game112.1
-0.1Adjusted margin / game+1.3
L3Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games6-4
15-26 roadHome / road record23-18 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.