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Lakers vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Arizona's Family 3TV, Spectrum Sports Net
49% win LALwin PHX 51%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin0.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (14-11) host the Los Angeles Lakers (17-7) on Sunday, December 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 116 – Suns 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 8-4 at home and the Lakers are 10-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Suns L1, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 116 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -0.6 / LAL +1.2 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+0.5

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

LALPHX
116.7
Points scored / game
114.4
115.3
Points allowed / game
115.1
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
39.2 %
3-point %
31.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
79.1 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
39.7
24.0
Assists / game
25.3
10.8
Steals / game
8.7
5.8
Blocks / game
5.3
16.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7729pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #776assists
Deandre AytonC · #813rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1527pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Devin BookerG · #156rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALPHX
17-7Record14-11
116.7Points scored / game114.4
115.3Points allowed / game115.1
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-0.6
L1Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
10-3 roadHome / road record8-4 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.