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Lakers vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
48% win LALwin PHX 52%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin0.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (15-13) host the Los Angeles Lakers (19-8) on Tuesday, December 23 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 108 – Suns 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 9-5 at home and the Lakers are 12-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 6-4 for the Lakers (current streaks: Suns L1, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 116 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -0.7 / LAL +1.0 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+0.6

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

LALPHX
116.6
Points scored / game
114.1
115.4
Points allowed / game
114.8
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
39.2 %
3-point %
31.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
79.1 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
39.7
24.0
Assists / game
25.3
10.8
Steals / game
8.7
5.8
Blocks / game
5.3
16.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2323pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #236assists
Deandre AytonC · #810rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #325pts / game
Devin BookerG · #1511assists
Mark WilliamsC · #259rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALPHX
19-8Record15-13
116.6Points scored / game114.1
115.4Points allowed / game114.8
+1.0Adjusted margin / game-0.7
L1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games4-6
12-4 roadHome / road record9-5 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.