Lakers vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (33-26) host the Los Angeles Lakers (34-23) on Thursday, February 26 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 110 – Suns 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 19-12 at home and the Lakers are 18-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Suns and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Suns L2, Lakers L2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 115 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALPHX
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7741pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778assistsLuka DoncicG · #778reboundsSuns
Grayson AllenG · #828pts / gameGrayson AllenG · #86assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2510reboundsRecent form
LALPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 3-2 this season.
PHX
Team comparison
| LAL | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-23 | Record | 33-26 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 18-11 road | Home / road record | 19-12 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.