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Suns vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
44-37 · away
Final score
73-101
Projected: 113-114
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
52-29 · home
47% win PHXwin LAL 53%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin0.9
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (51-29) host the Phoenix Suns (44-36) on Friday, April 10 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 73 – Lakers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 26-13 at home and the Suns are 19-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Lakers W1, Suns W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 114 – 113 Suns, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.0 / PHX +0.7 per game
+0.2
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
+0.9

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXLAL
112.9
Points scored / game
116.0
112.0
Points allowed / game
114.8
45.6 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
73.9 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.3
Assists / game
24.0
8.7
Steals / game
10.8
5.3
Blocks / game
5.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #312pts / game
Royce O'NealeF · #003assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2328pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2312assists
Jarred VanderbiltF · #27rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 3-2 this season.

Dec 1PHX125 - 108LALDec 14LAL116 - 114PHXDec 23LAL108 - 132PHXFeb 26LAL110 - 113PHXApr 10PHX73 - 101LAL

Team comparison

PHXLAL
44-36Record51-29
112.9Points scored / game116.0
112.0Points allowed / game114.8
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+1.0
W1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
19-20 roadHome / road record26-13 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.